David Pyne, fmr. U.S. Army Officer & National Security Expert, says that's the number worth arguing about, not the "obliteration" talk.
His depletion math, built off CIA reporting and Trump's own public statements: U.S. missile stocks down roughly 45% in the first 38 days. Iran's down about 30%, counting both combat losses and what it fired.
Two sides burning through inventory at different rates. That gap is the whole war.
On Kharg Island, he doesn't buy the theory some Trump advisors are reportedly floating: that Iran would abandon the oil infrastructure it's fighting to protect.
Pyne's version is Napoleon in Moscow. Let the landing happen. Then grind it down with artillery and drones from 16 miles away, using American reluctance to take casualties as the weapon itself.
If the war is being fought on inventory rather than territory, what does winning even look like?
Insightful conversation with @AmericaFirstCon
