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Jul 14, 2026 1:07 AM

That asymmetry is Larry Johnson's whole read of phase two.

Centcom's stated objective is destroying Iran's ability to touch shipping, but the launch sites are endless, rebuildable, and cheap, whack-a-mole with a thousand holes.

Iran's return targeting is the opposite: Jordan's two bases, Al Udeid, Al Dhafra, Bahrain, Kuwait, hit them nightly and the American ability to operate degrades with each round.

Add the munitions ledger, ATACMS out of production, THAAD interceptors half-spent in the war's first 40 days, Indo-Pacific commanders guarding their own stockpiles, and he thinks Washington runs out of gas first, within a week or two, before the begging for talks resumes.

The formal architecture confirmed it's a new war: Trump's notification to Congress restarted the 60-day clock, and Larry flags the next domino, Iran's parliament reconvening amid talk of NPT withdrawal.

On Pickax Mountain, Trump's newest named target, his assessment was flat: built to survive a nuclear blast, and a ground assault is a mission you don't come home from.

The ledger meanwhile: 80 MILLION barrels shipped out since the MOU, $6 billion minimum, paid in yuan.

@NewSonof

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