🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran didn't need to win the war. It just had to outlast the country that started it.

Alan Eyre spent 40 years in U.S. diplomacy and was a core negotiator on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA).

His read on this moment is sharp, and not what most people expect:

"Clausewitz said war is diplomacy by other means. Iran is saying diplomacy is war by other means."

On the U.S. striking Iran every time Iran hits a ship: "It's flailing." He compares it to a chess endgame where the ending is already visible, the U.S. just hasn't accepted it.

On America's broader trajectory: "This is 4% of the world controlling 25% of its resources. Well done. But yeah, it's done."

His verdict on Lebanon: "doomed."

I learned a lot from this conversation with @AlanEyre1, and I think you will too.