The Treasury Secretary told CNBC a deal on the strait could come today or tomorrow.
Rubio says progress is real but not final.
And the emerging framework, per officials speaking to AP, would put inbound shipping on an Iranian-controlled route with service fees attached, exactly what Washington swore it would never accept.
Professor David Gibbs joins the show to ask the question nobody in DC wants asked: why would Iran sign anything at all?
He walks through the two agreements Tehran already signed, the ceasefire after the twelve-day war and the MOU at Versailles, and what happened after each one, and explains why the hardliners in Tehran now consider the case closed.
Without even a fig-leaf agreement available, he sees "a few more iterations of disaster" before this truly ends.
Then the detail that stops you cold: the nuclear-capable Israeli submarine that surfaced in the Red Sea in full public view two weeks ago, and the message a vessel built to stay invisible sends by letting itself be seen.
Everyone briefing reporters says peace is a day away.
The historian on this show explains why history disagrees.
