Elijah Magnier, veteran war correspondent who has covered conflicts across the Middle East for decades, has a blunt assessment of where this ends:
Iran will have TOTAL control of the world's most critical oil chokepoint, a reality that did not exist before February 28th.
Trump hasn't achieved regime change or a nuclear deal, Hormuz is now formally under Iranian supervision, and the Gulf states are being forced to recognize Iran as the dominant regional power, whether they like it or not
On why Iran will not make it easy: "This is the last opportunity, and because it is the last opportunity, Iran is not going to step back on lifting all the sanctions and having the money back"
On Lebanon, he believes only a finalized Iran deal gives Tehran the leverage to truly force Israel into a genuine Lebanon ceasefire.
Neither of us feel this war will restart, as Trump NEEDS a way out of this, even if the victory he sells bears no resemblance to the one he promised.
Pleasure as always, @ejmalrai
