Trita Parsi has been warning about this collision for years and it's finally here.

Netanyahu isn't trying to stall but to survive, the moment this deal lands he loses immunity and goes to jail.

Trump knows this and is already quietly talking to his rivals in Israel.

Khamenei's statement was the same move his father made with the JCPOA, keep your distance so someone else takes the blame when America walks out again.

And America has walked out before, fully certified by their own State Department, then Trump ripped it up anyway.

The Strait is Iran's last card and they know it, use it for anything less than existential and they lose China.

So what's the actual guarantee here?

Enjoy my convo with @tparsi