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Jun 23, 2026 7:50 PM

David versus Goliath, Iran was David, and David won, no ambiguity about it

His read on the MOU: the winning side dictates terms, and that's exactly what happened, even if half the document is deliberately vague

3 active disagreements already, IAEA inspectors, the $6 billion restrictions, the ballistic missile program, and Iran is saying no to all three American framings

The one thing in the MOU that isn't vague, he noted, is Iran's affirmation on nuclear weapons, and he was genuinely surprised they held that line given how many times they've been attacked unprovoked

On Israel he reached for the South Africa comparison, not because the situations are identical, but because apartheid also lasted as long as it did only until its major power backer stepped back

The difference: South Africa had no America behind it, Israel does, or at least did

Netanyahu's personal survival and the interests of the state are now pulling in opposite directions, and the professor thinks that misalignment matters

Israel addicted to war was his phrase, and he meant it structurally, not just politically

The most hopeful outcome he could see: the defeat so thorough it makes the cost of the next war unthinkable

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