Trump still talks as though wars end because leaders sit around a table and agree to stop fighting.
Pepe thinks Russia and Iran have already moved on from that way of thinking.
His argument is that both countries have reached exactly the same conclusion: you negotiate from facts you've already created on the battlefield.
He says rather than waiting for Washington to honour the MOU, Iran is building a new regional reality that becomes harder to reverse with every passing day.
Then he drew a direct comparison with Russia.
Trump keeps saying he can end the Ukraine war with another phone call, but Pepe says Moscow stopped believing that months ago.
In his view, the Kremlin has already decided the battlefield will determine the final settlement, not another round of negotiations.
Every advance in Donbas, each new buffer zone, every strike on Ukraine's military infrastructure, is the future map being drawn before anyone sits down to negotiate.
The most fascinating part of the conversation was when Pepe said Russia has been studying Iran's response to the war.
Not just militarily, politically, diplomatically, and strategically.
He believes both countries have reached the same conclusion after years of broken agreements.
That's why he thinks something fundamental has changed.
Washington still believes it can sign an agreement today and renegotiate it tomorrow.
Russia and Iran believe the only agreements that matter are the ones backed by realities nobody can undo.
@RealPepeEscobar
