Three ships hit in 24 hours on the Omani corridor, and Treasury answered by revoking the waivers, the clearest breach yet of the agreement's core trade.
Stack it up: Lebanon unresolved, strikes on Iranian soil, attacks on US bases, and now the sanctions are back.
David Gibbs's summary was stark: the only thing that survives from June 17 is the absence of full-blown war.
And he thinks Washington is bargaining from the weaker chair.
Those funeral crowds ended the regime-change fantasy for good, he argues; a government that may have been unpopular in February now has millions visibly behind it and no political room to concede.
The MOU was already tilted Iran's way.
Tehran will drive a harder bargain, not a softer one.
His Ukraine verdict was colder.
He's studied wars for a living and sees no ending short of Russian victory, unless it's nuclear.
At Princeton he just read George Kennan's letters warning the Clinton administration in the NINETIES that NATO expansion toward Ukraine would provoke exactly this.
The thread tying both wars together, in his telling, is hubris: a 1990s intoxication with American power that Iraq and Afghanistan somehow never cured.
