Glenn Diesen argues it is only a pause, and that the more terrifying story is the other war, the one with Russia that he believes is now sliding toward a nuclear exchange. In this conversation, Glenn makes the case that the MOU reads like a surrender document precisely because America lost. Walking through the 14 points, his summary is stark: Iran gets everything it wanted, sanctions relief, the unfrozen blockade, recognition over Hormuz, even a $300 billion reconstruction fund, while America gets nothing it demanded, no nuclear limits, no end to the missile program. His read is that Trump signed to buy time, refill the reserves, and eventually try to go back to war, because the US cannot make peace with a multipolar Middle East where Iran is the leading power. But it is Ukraine that genuinely alarms him. After the unprecedented drone strikes on Moscow, Glenn argues Russia has reached the point where not retaliating against NATO is now riskier than retaliating, and that once it does, the escalation ladder becomes almost impossible to control. We also dig into the rhetorical shift from Trump and Vance, why Glenn thinks it is real but has not yet translated into action, and the exhausting pattern where stating basic facts gets you branded as cheering for the other side. @Glenn_Diesen
