His most important point reframed the whole fight: Trump keeps insisting there will be "no tolls," but Iran was never asking for tolls.
They want a service charge, legally a completely different thing.
An app you must install, a guide drone, a registration. And the real issue isn't the money anyway.
Charge a single cent and you've still established one thing: ships pass by Iran's permission.
That word, CONTROL, is what everyone is fighting over
On today's tanker strike, Anas leans toward a fringe IRGC element acting alone rather than coordinated policy, which he says is scarier than open war.
In a war you know both sides' capabilities.
With rogue factions, you learn everything only after the fact.
And his read on why oil never hit the feared heights cuts against the crowd. There was no lingering shortage.
When prices spiked past $170, China simply stopped buying, slashing imports by 6 million barrels a day.
No secret stash, just demand destruction.
His warning: emotions are still raw, and one crazy act by any faction could flip the table.
@anasalhajji
