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Nov 6, 2025 8:30 PM

Ukraine’s strongest fortress in the east is about to fall

In the meantime, Ukraine is running out of Patriot missiles, struggling to get Tomahawks, while Russia continues to incrementally gain territory

Will Trump and the EU turn things around?

@CaptainDeny, one of Ukraine’s most trusted military voices, doesn’t think so…

We discuss:

•⁠ ⁠How Russian glide bombs and drone swarms wiped out entire brigades

•⁠ ⁠Why Ukraine’s Patriot systems are nearly empty and running on scraps

•⁠ ⁠How U.S. Tomahawks can help but won’t turn the tide

•⁠ ⁠And what happens next if the West doesn’t escalate support immediately

Captain Deny warns the fall of Pokrovsk is a turning point, and the next few months will decide whether Ukraine stands or falls.

01:10 – Why glide bombs are changing the battlefield

01:32 – Pokrovsk’s fall could make Donbas indefensible

02:10 – Why Russia wants Ukraine as a pro-Russian puppet state

03:00 – The fight for Pokrovsk and what’s at stake

04:15 – 80% of Pokrovsk now infiltrated by Russian infantry

06:20 – Why Ukrainian evacuation came too late

07:35 – Special forces landed, but impact minimal

08:05 – Pokrovsk’s fall would cripple Ukraine’s economy and supply lines

09:30 – Ukraine counterattacking in the north, holding back collapse

10:15 – Why Putin won’t accept any U.S.-brokered peace deal

11:22 – Trump’s proposal for Ukraine to give up Donbas and freeze the war

12:25 – Why Ukraine refuses to surrender territory

13:10 – Could European peacekeepers change the equation

14:25 – The front line is too vast to control

15:10 – Ukraine’s limited resources and fading options

16:15 – Why Davydov says Ukraine can’t retake Crimea or Donbas

17:20 – “Only a Russian collapse can end this war”

18:05 – Casualties rising on both sides

19:00 – Ukraine now conscripting civilians from the streets

19:45 – Russia’s manpower advantage 8-to-1

20:05 – How Ukraine still holds despite being outnumbered

21:40 – Ukraine fighting to preserve identity, not just land

22:40 – Why surrender would erase Ukrainian culture

23:05 – Can Tomahawks or new U.S. weapons change the war

23:50 – Davydov says Tomahawks are “mostly political theater”

24:45 – Sanctions hurt but are short-lived without enforcement

25:25 – Flamingo vs Neptune: Ukraine’s missile problem

27:00 – Why Russia has no incentive to freeze the lines

28:10 – Keeping 800,000 soldiers busy keeps Putin’s regime stable

29:10 – War fatigue in Russia isn’t enough to stop the Kremlin

30:05 – Russia’s economy built to survive sanctions

31:35 – China and Turkey keeping Russia’s trade alive

33:05 – Trump’s new sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil

34:10 – Davydov warns sanctions will be bypassed within months

34:55 – “Cheap oil is financially addictive”

35:40 – What Ukraine needs now: guarantees, not promises

36:25 – The limits of Western aid and the illusion of support

37:45 – Why Europe still buys Russian energy

38:30 – Davydov says Ukraine’s only hope is time and attrition

39:55 – The Black Swan scenario: another Prigozhin moment

40:40 – Why Putin fears his soldiers returning home more than NATO

42:15 – Western societies value life, Russia values endurance

43:30 – The roots of the war: invasion, NATO, and broken promises

45:15 – Crimea was seized while Ukraine was neutral

47:00 – Why Davydov says NATO is weaker than people think

48:30 – NATO’s hesitation vs. Russia’s aggression

49:55 – “Putin used NATO as an excuse to attack”

50:35 – Russia’s justification: “protecting Donbas”

52:20 – Why Ukraine can never be neutral

53:05 – The Monroe Doctrine argument and U.S. hypocrisy

54:00 – Denys: NATO threat to Russia was zero

55:00 – Why Russia’s war is ideological, not defensive

56:45 – China says it will never let Russia lose

57:50 – Beijing’s fear of a U.S. victory

58:20 – Trump’s opportunity: make China and Russia compete

59:30 – The U.S. still holding back military power

01:00:25 – Europe funding both sides of the war

01:01:20 – How fast Ukraine can train F-16 and A-10 pilots

01:02:00 – Why Ukraine needs 300 fighter jets to win air superiority

01:03:00 – Patriot systems nearly depleted

01:04:45 – “Without air defense, every village can be erased”

01:06:20 – Closing thoughts: no peace without pressure, no survival without support

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