Mark Cancian has spent his career at CSIS counting what the Pentagon actually has left.
His numbers explain everything.
At the war's peak, America hit 350 targets a day.
The later bombing rounds? Maybe 40 to 80.
Not because anyone got merciful. Because the ammunition is being saved for a possible war with China, and every missile fired at Iran is one missile short in the Pacific.
So how does it end? His answer is almost funny.
Washington never says yes to Iran's toll. It never fights it either.
It just refuses to recognize the deal, complains loudly, and lets the ships start moving.
The war doesn't end. It gets ignored.
There's even a fig leaf built in. Almost no ships fly the American flag.
So American companies pay the toll as "Liberians" and "Panamanians," and Washington never officially pays a dime.
What are they actually paying? He puts it plainly:
"a global tax that the Iranians have been allowed to impose on the world"
The dark twist in all this... once one toll stands, Panama and Malacca start doing the math.
Geography becomes something you CHARGE for.
@MarkCancian @WeTheBrandon
