Bobby Jones built those war games.
He planned them for CENTCOM, flew to the region quarterly to set them up, and later commanded Task Group 56.7, the logistics network that kept the Strait of Hormuz open.
In the first 48 hours of this war, his former shipmates texted him photos of his old office in Bahrain. Gone, along with the watch floor.
That detail explains everything since.
Iran didn't waste opening salvos on prestige targets.
It methodically destroyed the logistics nodes a blockade runs on, in the exact locations a career logistician would pick.
The kinetic quiet everyone credits to diplomacy is really arithmetic, ammunition count and broken supply lines forcing Washington toward Treasury weapons instead.
His larger decode reframes the entire war:
"the Strait of Hormuz is Iran's nuclear deterrent"
Tehran learned during the tanker wars where America actually feels pain, and it planned for decades around the pocketbook.
On the reported 5 to 7 percent toll, his advice runs cold: treat it as the new floor and be grateful.
A country locked out of the Western system for forty years has no reason to discount access to it.
If the toll stands, Panama and Malacca take notes, and geography becomes the natural resource of every state without a bomb.
@WeTheBrandon


