Former Navy SEAL Matt Bracken laid out the vulnerability nobody in Washington seems to be pricing.
Fighters cannot reach Iran and return without aerial refueling, and those tankers need long concrete runways, which means the whole campaign now funnels through a handful of known airfields in southern Israel and Jordan, packed close because there is nowhere else to put them.
The wild part? Those fields are visible to every satellite and every local watching planes land.
Iran's medium range missiles can carry submunition warheads that scatter across a wide area, and it takes very little damage to disable a modern jet or pit a runway badly enough to close it.
Which means the danger is timing.
Aircraft in the air when their runways go down have to divert to Turkey or Cyprus, and those governments decide whether to refuel them for another mission.
@Matt_Bracken48
