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Jun 14, 2026 6:51 PM

INTERVIEW: Maritime historian Sal Mercogliano is tracking every ship moving through the Strait of Hormuz in real time, and what he sees tells a very different story than the headlines.

Trump claims 100 million barrels have gotten out, Dr. Mercogliano puts that in perspective: 5 days of pre-war supply levels.

His most provocative question: does Iran even need a nuclear weapon if it controls the Strait, using it to manipulate global energy markets and impose economic pain far beyond the region?

And even if an MOU is reached, he does not expect shipping to return to pre-war levels, pointing to the Red Sea as a precedent where traffic never recovered after the Houthis.

@mercoglianos

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